Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 13.727515 15.418484 17.252675 19.392642 21.824145 24.504816 27.689341
2025-04-06 10.990229 13.183953 15.738261 18.942074 22.867115 27.536689 33.539318
2025-04-13 9.063829 11.519155 14.562406 18.634016 23.972709 30.780632 40.193490
2025-04-20 7.896425 10.582580 14.109833 19.122239 26.129255 35.675735 49.836038
2025-04-27 6.990867 9.836966 13.778743 19.703850 28.501081 41.263799 61.517216
2025-05-04 6.161501 9.063342 13.282945 19.963085 30.453408 46.597778 73.914682
2025-05-11 5.328369 8.156197 12.452661 19.582405 31.368769 50.524136 84.935102
2025-05-18 4.661883 7.402756 11.739694 19.259583 32.305261 54.630573 97.098305
2025-05-25 4.118527 6.765921 11.115989 18.974869 33.242535 58.885425 110.413390
2025-06-01 3.687122 6.252986 10.621208 18.825491 34.378915 63.677856 125.760743
2025-06-08 3.335076 5.827549 10.215001 18.764727 35.656588 68.947356 143.212619
2025-06-15 3.132503 5.638656 10.199668 19.422401 38.419975 77.620330 169.805148
2025-06-22 2.861565 5.297809 9.874058 19.460136 40.013349 84.349920 194.118207
2025-06-29 2.569784 4.881117 9.350114 19.020402 40.536810 88.910195 214.596890
2025-07-06 2.330901 4.537550 8.924475 18.719856 41.313995 94.206560 238.334708
2025-07-13 2.197335 4.388153 8.871637 19.217134 44.002668 104.565271 278.200131
2025-07-20 2.084339 4.266769 8.860639 19.806816 47.027273 116.418131 325.708191
2025-07-27 1.955144 4.095048 8.718724 20.071135 49.306481 126.875193 372.393277
2025-08-03 1.791090 3.828093 8.332483 19.690770 49.869847 132.873582 407.325116
2025-08-10 1.648809 3.593304 7.990256 19.367818 50.532234 139.316308 445.798662
2025-08-17 1.523786 3.383695 7.681010 19.082652 51.251946 146.109500 487.748782
2025-08-24 1.419446 3.210537 7.437515 18.933273 52.335242 154.267605 537.361254
2025-08-31 1.329988 3.062802 7.238079 18.872793 53.674263 163.560662 594.515951